The New Orleans Saints will host the Atlanta Falcons in an vital NFC South matchup. Each groups at the moment sit at 1-2 within the division, and the winner will slide into first after 4 weeks.
These are two injury-depleted defenses, and that’s going to play an enormous position on this sport. Each defenses additionally battle with what their opponent desires to do offensively.
The Falcons are already with out Jalon Walker, James Pearce Jr., and A.J. Terrell Jr. on protection. That provides a large edge to the Saints’ passing assault, as they’re with out two edge rushers and their shutdown cornerback. Divine Deablo and Samson Ebukam are additionally questionable for this sport.
New Orleans at the moment ranks third within the NFL, averaging 281.3 passing yards per sport. They’re throwing the ball on the fifth-highest charge (64%) within the league. Travis Etienne’s additionally been dominated out for this sport, that means the Saints could possibly be pressured to lean extra on their passing assault than common.
On the opposite facet, the Saints have a number of defensive gamers on IR, and Carl Granderson, Kaden Elliss, and Anfernee Jennings have all been dominated out this week. Pete Werner can also be questionable after not working towards in any respect, and New Orleans could possibly be with out the vast majority of their linebackers.
Falcons vs. Saints MNF Picks
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The Falcons are at the moment operating on the highest charge (54.7%) within the NFL this season. They’re averaging 173 speeding yards per sport, though that is boosted by their 242-yard efficiency in opposition to the Inexperienced Bay Packers. The Saints do rank close to the underside of the NFL, permitting 4.7 yards per carry in 2026.
These are two groups which might be giving up a ton of purple zone alternatives this season. Total, they’re combining to permit 8.3 purple zone journeys to their opponents. They’re two of the worst charges within the NFL.
The offenses have discovered touchdowns once they’ve gotten within the purple zone. The Saints rank third within the NFL in purple zone landing share (81.8%). The Falcons rank fourth (80%), though they’ve seen very restricted purple zone alternatives this season.
Each offenses ought to have the benefit in the way in which they need to transfer the ball. If they’ll each constantly get to the purple zone, they need to discover the over on this sport.
The place to Wager: Atlanta Falcons/New Orleans Saints over 47.5 factors | -110 at FanDuel Sportsbook
2026 NFL Season Betting File: 3-7
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